Tuesday, January 12, 2016

PRESS STATEMENT ON FOREIGN EXCHANGE DEPOSITS IN COMMERCIAL BANKS AND SALES TO BDCS BY GOVERNOR GODWIN I. EMEFIELE—JANUARY 2016

PRESS STATEMENT ON FOREIGN EXCHANGE DEPOSITS

IN COMMERCIAL BANKS AND SALES TO BDCS

BY GOVERNOR GODWIN I. EMEFIELE—JANUARY 2016

 

1. Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen and welcome

to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). The Management of

the Bank has called this Press Conference to give you

updates on recent developments in our Foreign Exchange

Market as well as the decisions we have taken to ensure

that we continue to strive to attain our mandates as set out

in the CBN Act of 2007. In order to do so, let me first give

you a brief overview of both the global and domestic

contexts.

 

2. As we all know by now, Nigeria has been dealing with

the effects of three serious and simultaneous global

shocks, which began around the third quarter of 2014.

These include:

 

The over 70 percent drop in the price of crude oil,

which contributes the largest share of our Foreign

Exchange Reserves;

Geopolitical tensions along critical trading routes in

the world including between Russia and Western

Powers, Saudi Arabia and Iran, etc; and

Normalization of Monetary Policy by the United

States' Federal Reserve Bank.

 

3. In the aftermath of these shocks, growth in the global

economy in the first two quarters of 2015 was less than

envisaged thereby leading to a weak outlook for the rest of

the year. Indeed, estimates of global growth for 2015 have

been revised from almost 4 percent to 3.1 percent. The

challenges of these global developments are having

lopsided effects in many emerging and developing

countries. Within this context, and especially when

juxtaposed with comparable countries, the Nigerian

economy remains moderately robust. Nonetheless, these

strong global headwinds are impacting the domestic

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economy considerably. In 2015, GDP growth decelerated

from 3.9 percent in the first quarter to 2.4 percent in the

second quarter. However, it has increased slightly to 2.8

percent in the third quarter.

 

4. Although headline inflation remained single digit, it

stayed slightly above the Bank's tolerance range of 6—9

percent, having risen marginally from 9.3 percent in

October to 9.4 percent in November 2015. A breakdown of

the inflation dynamics indicates that the underlying

pressure derives largely from the lingering base effects of

unfavourable energy prices and exchange rate passthrough,

which may have been exacerbated by delayed

harvests.

 

5. Following the drop in crude prices from a peak of

US114 barrel in July 2014 to as low as US$33/barrel in

January 2016, the country's reserves has suffered great

pressure from speculative attacks, round tripping and front

loading activities by actors in the FX market. This fall in oil

prices also implies that the CBN's monthly foreign

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earnings has fallen from as high as US$3.2 billion to

current levels of as low as US$1 billion. Yet, the demand

for foreign exchange by mostly domestic importers has

risen significantly. For example, the last we had oil prices

at about US$50 per barrel for an extended period of time

was in 2005. At that time, our average import bill was

N148.3 billion per month. In stark contrast, our average

import bill for the first nine months of 2015 is N917.6 billion

per month, even though oil prices are now less than

US$35 per barrel. The net effect of these combined forces

unfortunately is the depletion of our foreign exchange

reserves. As of June 2014, the stock of Foreign Exchange

Reserves stood at about US$37.3 billion but has declined

to around US$28.0 billion as of today.

 

6. To avoid further depletion in the reserves, the CBN

took a number of countervailing actions including the

prioritization of the most critical needs for foreign

exchange. In this regard, and in order of priority, we

decided to provide the available but highly limited foreign

exchange to meet the following needs:

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Matured Letters of Credit from Commercial Banks

Importation of Petroleum Products

Importation of critical Raw Materials, Plants, and

Equipment, and

Payments for School Fees, BTA, PTA, and related

expenses

 

7. In total disregard of the difficulties that the Bank is

facing in meeting its mandate of "maintaining the country's

foreign exchange reserves to safeguard the value of the

Naira", we have continued to observe that stakeholders in

some of the subsectors have not been helpful in this

direction. In particular, we have noted with grave concern

that Bureau de Change (BDC) operators have abandoned

the original objective of their establishment, which was to

serve retail end users who need US$5,000 or less.

Instead, they have become wholesale dealers in foreign

exchange to the tune of millions of dollars per transaction.

Thereafter, they use fake documentations like passport

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numbers, BVNs, boarding passes, and flight tickets to

render weekly returns to the CBN.

 

8. Despite the fact that Nigeria is the only country in the

world where the Central Bank sells dollars directly to

BDCs, operators in this segment have not reciprocated the

Bank's gesture to help maintain stability in the market.

Whereas the Bank has continued to sell US Dollars at

about N197 per dollar to these operators, they have in

turned become greedy in their sales to ordinary Nigerians,

with selling rates of as high as N250 per dollar. Given this

rent-seeking behaviour, it is not surprising that since the

CBN began to sell foreign exchange to BDCs, the number

of operators have risen from a mere 74 in 2005 to 2,786

BDCs today. In addition, the CBN receives close to 150

new applications for BDC licenses every month.

 

9. Rather than help to achieve the laudable objectives

for which they were licensed, the Bank has noted the

following unintended outcomes:

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Avalanche of rent-seeking operators only interested in

widening margins and profits from the foreign

exchange market, regardless of prevailing official and

interbank rates;

Potential financing of unauthorized transactions with

foreign exchange procured from the CBN;

Gradual dollarization of the Nigerian economy with

attendant adverse consequences on the conduct of

monetary policy and subtle subversion of cashless

policy initiative; and

Prevailing ownership of several BDCs by the same

promoters in order to illegally buy foreign currencies

multiple times from the CBN.

 

10. More disturbing, though, is the financial burden being

placed on the Bank and our limited foreign exchange. The

CBN sells US$60,000 to each BDC per week. This

amount translates to US$167 million per week, and about

US$8.6 billion per year. In order to curtail this reserve

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depletion, we have reduced the amount of weekly sales to

US$10,000 per BDC, which translates into US$28.4

million depletion of the foreign reserve per week and

US$1.476 billion per annum. This is a huge hemorrhage

on our scarce foreign exchange reserves, and cannot

continue especially because we are also concerned that

BDCs have become a conduit for illicit trade and financial

flows.

 

11. In view of the above, the Management of the Central

Bank of Nigeria has reached the following decision, which

take immediate effect:

a) The Bank would henceforth discontinue its sales of

foreign exchange to BDCs. Operators in this segment

of the market would now need to source their foreign

exchange from autonomous source. They must

however note that the CBN would deploy more

resources to monitoring these sources to ensure that

no operator is in violation of our anti-money

laundering laws;

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b) The Bank would now permit commercial banks in the

country begin accepting cash deposits of foreign

exchange from their customers.

 

12. In closing, let me note very importantly that these

measures are not intended to be punitive on anyone or

any group. Rather it is meant to ensure that the CBN is

better able to carry out its mandate in an effective and

efficient manner, which guarantees preservation of our

scarce commonwealth, and that our hard-earned financial

system stability remain intact to the benefit of all

Nigerians.

 

Thank you and let me take questions.

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